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Alphastone

Equity · Stocks · Started Dec 2023

BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
6.8%
Max Drawdown
10.2%
Trades
64
Win Trades
67.2%
Profit Factor
2.50
Win Months
68.6%
Subscribe $99/mo

Hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-0.1-0.1
20240.13.11.7-0.6-0.11.20.70.81.1-0.81.0-0.18.2
20251.60.61.0-2.31.40.9-0.52.34.21.50.9-0.411.6
20260.02.0-6.12.00.4-1.61.61.20.40.2-0.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/29/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age35 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades64
# Profitable43
% Profitable67.2%
Avg trade duration131.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown10.2%
drawdown periodJan 28, 2026 - June 24, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)6.8%
Avg win$931
Avg loss$799

Ratios

W:L ratio2.52
Sharpe Ratio0.72
Sortino Ratio0.95
Calmar Ratio1.00

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.37
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life61.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-41.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)6.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)8.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity6.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.3%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss2.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)645
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)719
Performance-weighted percentile315
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)635

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?186643
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$799
Avg Win$931
# Winners43
Sum Trade PL (losers)$16,769
Sum Trade PL (winners)$40,054
Num Months Winners25
# Losers21
% Winners67.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct2248

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table35

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)189322.86
Avg Position Time (hrs)3155.38
Avg Trade Length131.50
Last Trade Ago84

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.82
Daily leverage (max)1.05

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.14
Treynor Index0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.18
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.55
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.43
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.43
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.64

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.06
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.09
df32
t1.85
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.30
Sortino ratio1.82
Upside Potential Ratio3.03
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms22
N negative terms11
N of observations33
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.06
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error31
t(b)3.29
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.98
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.06
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.06
df32
t1.80
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.27
Sortino ratio1.74
Upside Potential Ratio2.94
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms22
N negative terms11
N of observations33
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.06
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error31
t(b)3.28
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.01
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df734
t1.66
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.16
Sortino ratio1.31
Upside Potential Ratio8.23
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms405
N negative terms330
N of observations735
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.00
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error733
t(b)10.32
p(b)0
t(a)1.12
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Treynor index (mean / b)0.42
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.96
df734
t1.61
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.13
Sortino ratio1.27
Upside Potential Ratio8.16
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms405
N negative terms330
N of observations735
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.00
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error733
t(b)10.41
p(b)0
t(a)1.11
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.40
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.03
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.61
df130
t0.43
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.38
Sortino ratio0.84
Upside Potential Ratio8.82
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.28
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms68
N negative terms63
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)5.66
p(b)0.23
t(a)0.14
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.03
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.58
df130
t0.42
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.36
Sortino ratio0.81
Upside Potential Ratio8.77
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.28
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms68
N negative terms63
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)5.67
p(b)0.23
t(a)0.14
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations33
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-13.02
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.58
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations735
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low19
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.29
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations56
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1081725952
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)147
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.08
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.08
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.37
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.09
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.08
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.79
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.39
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.19
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.54

Trading record

Placed 242 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QQQ long23Mar 31, 2026Aug 7, 2026$2,474
PDBC long996Apr 2, 2026Aug 7, 2026($475)
DIA long12May 1, 2026Aug 7, 2026$374
SLV long180Jan 27, 2026Apr 30, 2026($4,195)
XLE long40Apr 2, 2026Apr 30, 2026$9
XLU long52Apr 2, 2026Apr 30, 2026$13
GDX long25Apr 2, 2026Apr 30, 2026($175)
SPY long9Apr 2, 2026Apr 7, 2026$72
COAL long854Mar 27, 2026Mar 31, 2026($940)
XLE long387Mar 26, 2026Mar 31, 2026($650)
QQQ long80Jun 13, 2025Mar 27, 2026$2,764
PDBC long166Mar 2, 2026Mar 26, 2026$276
IFED long120Dec 31, 2025Mar 26, 2026($625)
SPY long68Mar 10, 2026Mar 24, 2026($886)
SPY long284Oct 31, 2025Mar 6, 2026$780
DIA long20Jun 13, 2025Dec 31, 2025$872
SPY long66Oct 13, 2025Oct 29, 2025$659
SPY long55Aug 29, 2025Sep 29, 2025$616
SPY long54Aug 20, 2025Aug 22, 2025$523
SPY long35Aug 7, 2025Aug 15, 2025$518
SPY long40Jul 25, 2025Aug 4, 2025($366)
QQQ long50May 13, 2025Jun 12, 2025$879
DIA long20May 13, 2025Jun 12, 2025$144
GLD long45May 13, 2025Jun 12, 2025$543
KMLM long1018May 13, 2025Jun 12, 2025$331
BTAL long562May 13, 2025Jun 12, 2025($151)
DIA long20May 1, 2025May 13, 2025$247
QQQ long50May 1, 2025May 13, 2025$1,479
KMLM long1018Apr 11, 2025May 13, 2025($299)
PDBC long442Apr 11, 2025May 1, 2025($69)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.